<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>				<article id="-663881037"><artname>Duration and Bond Interest Rate Risk</artname><p>Another <glossary def="The chance of loss due to the uncertainty of future events. Risks can be in political systems, unforeseen changes in management, investor emotions, etc. Uncertainties in exchange rates, interest rates, inflation, loss of principal, etc. are also considered risk." primary="Risk">risk</glossary> that <glossary def="A legal document that is a promise to repay borrowed principal along with interest on a specified schedule or certain date (the bond's maturity). Federal, state, and local governments, corporations, and other types of institutions raise capital by selling bonds to investors." primary="Bond">bond</glossary> investors face is <glossary def="The likelihood that an investment asset will decline in value if the cost of borrowing increases. " primary="Interest Rate Risk">interest rate risk</glossary>&#8212;the risk that rising <glossary def="A percentage that indicates what borrowed money will cost or savings will earn. An interest rate equals interest earned or charged per year divided by the principal amount, and expressed as a percentage. In the simplest example, a 5% interest rate means that it will cost $5 to borrow $100 for a year, or a person will earn $5 for keeping $100 in a savings account for a year." primary="Interest Rate">interest rates</glossary> <nodef>will</nodef> make their fixed interest rate bonds less valuable. To illustrate this, let's suppose you bought a $1,000 <glossary def="The value of a stock or bond assigned by the issuer, as opposed to the market value. Also called face value." primary="Par Value">par value</glossary> bond with a 10-year <glossary def="The date on which a debt or other negotiable instrument comes due and must be paid." primary="Maturity">maturity</glossary> and a 6 percent <glossary def="The interest rate on a bond. It is called a coupon rate because of the traditional, attached coupon that must be surrendered in order to receive the interest. Today, many bonds come without the attached coupon." primary="Coupon Rate">coupon rate</glossary>. You <nodef>will</nodef> earn 6 percent of $1,000, or $60, each year that you own the bond. Let's further assume that after one year, you decide to sell it, and at that time, new bonds are being issued with 7 percent coupons. Investors can choose between your 6 percent bond and a new 7 percent bond. To entice someone to buy your bond, you <nodef>will</nodef> to have to <glossary def="A reduction in price, usually offered to sell off leftover quantities or to boost sales of a product that is losing popularity or that has been devalued (such as a bond) in the marketplace." primary="Discount">discount</glossary> its price so that the new owner <nodef>will</nodef> earn the same $60, but <nodef>will</nodef> have paid less than $1,000 to buy it, thus raising his or her <glossary def="The rate of return on an investment, described as a percentage of the amount of the investment. For example, a $1,000 bond with a 7 percent yield would pay out 7 percent of $1,000, or $70 per year." primary="Yield">yield</glossary> closer to 7 percent.</p><callout align="right">A bond's duration will determine how its price is affected by interest rate changes.</callout><p>The reverse is also true. Using the example above, let's assume that when you sell your bond, new bonds are being issued with 5 percent coupons. Investors can choose between your 6 percent bond and a new 5 percent bond. Comparatively, your bond is now much more attractive. An <glossary def="Someone who buys an asset for the income it will earn and/or the increased value it will have in the future." primary="Investor">investor</glossary> <nodef>will</nodef> be willing to pay more than $1,000 to earn 6 percent rather than 5 percent.</p><p><glossary def="A measurement of the life of a bond on a present value basis." primary="Duration">Duration</glossary> is the tool that helps investors gauge these price <glossary def="The up and down movement of prices, usually applied to stocks. Some think they can be charted and theoretically used to predict future price activities." primary="Fluctuation">fluctuations</glossary> that are due to interest rate risk. Duration is expressed as a number of years from the purchase date. In simple terms, a bond's duration <nodef>will</nodef> determine how its price is affected by interest rate changes. In other words, if rates move up by one percentage <nodef>point</nodef>&#8212;for example, from 6 percent to 7 percent&#8212;the price of a bond with a duration of 5 years <nodef>will</nodef> move down by 5 percent, while a bond with a duration of 10 years <nodef>will</nodef> move down by about 10 percent. You <nodef>will</nodef> notice that all components of a bond are duration variables. That is, the bond's duration, coupon, and <glossary def="The yield on a bond from purchase date to maturity date. On bonds bought at discount, the yield to maturity pays interest on the face value, but is expressed as a percentage of the discount value." primary="Yield-to-Maturity">yield-to-maturity</glossary>, as well as the extent of the change in interest rates, are all significant variables that ultimately determine how much a bond's price moves.</p></article>	